Elon Musk says Tesla will sell 5 million cars by 2030 — math says otherwise

October 22, 2026 Andrew J. Hawkins

A stylized rendering of Tesla’s Cybercab with its doors swung open appears on a green background.

On Tesla's earnings call Wednesday, Elon Musk made one of his patented pie-in-the-sky predictions that typically sends his fans into paroxysms of ecstasy: 5 million vehicle deliveries by 2030.

"We were aiming for 5 million vehicles a year by approximately 2030," he said. "And I think we've got a good shot of achieving that goal."

You'd be forgiven for missing the statement amid the veritable firehose of Musk superlatives - the company's Terafab chip factory "will be the most valuable building in the world" with "an economic value that's going to be placed in the top 20 countries" and "Tesla will end up being a majority of all passenger mi …

Read the full story at The Verge.

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